Tag: Believe the HYPE

Believe the Hype – Round 18 (RUCKING Problem!)

Believe the Hype – Round 18 (RUCKING Problem!)


Giles a Giant problem

This weekly article will look at who is being HYPED this week as a MUST have buy in AFL DreamTeam and SuperCoach and other HYPED issues of the week.

TRADE OF THE WEEK
OUT: Giles (GWS) – IN: ANYONE.

Giles had been one of the better rookie priced players in recent years. He has been solid averaging 75.36 over the season his last five games have been disappointing averaging only 57 ppg with a season low 36 out west on the wide plains of Patersons Stadium last weekend against the Dockers.

With a break-even of 117and his price falling under the 300k mark for the first time since round 5, now is the time to trade away and upgrade to a premium ruckman.

THE OPTIONS
The obvious option if you have the money is to go straight up to Dean Cox. Despite his age and his reduced minutes in the middle of the ground he still finds the ball and has become a strong target up forward in the place of the injured Josh Kennedy. Cox has averaged 100.44 ppg over the season and 104.4 over his last 5. The Eagles play 4 of there last 6 games at Patersons Stadium and have two away trips, one against Port Adelaide who have struggled against the premium ruck man in recent weeks and round 23 against Hawthorn at the MCG. Be wary if the Eagles are locked in either 3rd or 4th spot heading into Round 23 that they don’t rest some of their stars in that long away trip before finals.

Another premium option that has been mooted is Ivan Maric who has been a revelation this season at the Tigers. I would stay away from big Ivan as he is reported to be carrying an injury and may play less minutes in the ruck or miss games late in the season if Richmonds season ultimately culminates at the perennial 9th position.

My choice for those needing to save a little coin is Ben McEvoy. Started the year solidly before getting injured and missing 6 weeks coming back for one game before St.Kilda had the Round 13 bye. Since he returned he has averaged 90.4 ppg and should be fresh leading into the last 6 games. Another upside is that the Saints play all 6 remaining games at either Etihad (4) or the MCG (2) and only one game against a genuine top 4 contender in Collingwood in Round 19. They also have Western Bulldogs, Melbourne and GWS to come.

Others to consider are Sam Jacobs who has a soft draw on the run home including Gold Coast in round 23 and he has averaged 109.7 over the last 3 and Jarryd Roughead who is averaging 104.2 ppg over the last 5, however he comes up against Sydney (Mumford/Pyke) and West Coast (Cox/Naitanui) in round 22 and 23 respectively, our fantasy Preliminary and Grand Finals.

The Ruckman Hype List for the end of the season.
1) Cox
2) McEvoy
3) Jacobs
4) Maric
5) Roughead

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Believe The Hype – Round 14


This weekly article will look at who is being HYPED this week as a MUST have buy in AFL DreamTeam and SuperCoach and other HYPED issues of the week.

All DreamTeamers and SuperCoach players breath a sigh of relief this week as the AFL returns to its 9-game weekend. The bye period has thrown a spanner in the works and devasted many teams and called into question the way this game has been structured for the 2012 season. With the AFL acknowledging they will have six bye weeks in 2013, hopefully Virtual Sports can deliver a solution to this major issue.

TRADE OF THE WEEK
OUT: Stephenson (Geel) – IN: Campbell, T (WB).
This weeks 5 of the top ten trades of the week have been a combination of ruck trades. Out: Stephenson, Redden and Giles; In: Campbell, Maric and Ryder. Many coaches are seeing this as the ideal opportunity to upgrade their rucks to those premiums rucks. With 6.55% of trades involving Coaches trading out Giles people believe he has reached his maximum. On the trade of the week it appears that Stephenson may have hit his bubble in terms of performance and may struggle to be selected in the Geelong line-up. If Campbell is selected with the return of Will Minson then it is time to make the trade. Be careful that your third Ruckman is playing as the rucks have been a curse for many this season.

A Giant Problem?

My own thoughts on this are unless you are trading to a premium ruck man like Cox or Maric hold onto Giles and save the trade. As we get closer to DreamTeam and SuperCoach finals we will need those trades as AFL coaches begin to rest players or if injury strikes. Consider Shane Mumford who is underpriced after returning from injury. While many will avoid him after being burnt earlier in the season and are adverse to retarding in a former player, Mumford may be the exception. With his work at ground level and his ability to win the tap he is definitely an underpriced option worth considering. HE has only averaged 62.7 since his return however that has been scores of 43, 68 and 77 an upwards trend. He also scored 91 and 87 in his first two games before injury and has the potential to average 90 per week.

Verdict – Trade

Cheap as Chips – Tom Rockliff
Rockliff is one of my favourites and knows how to find the ball. While he struggled to score constantly during the first half of the season, mainly due to being played as a forward, he has refound his form since moving back into the midfield on a more permanent basis due to the use of Merrett and Brown as key forwards. Last season Rockliff was one of the highest scorers in the second half of the season and has the opportunity to do the same again this year. Averaging 108.7 in his last 3 including a round high 141 last week now is the time to buy with his price low at only $447,700.

Verdict – Buy Now.

Believe the Hype – Round 13 preview



This weekly article will look at who is being HYPED this week as a MUST have buy in AFL DreamTeam and SuperCoach and other HYPED issues of the week.

This Round marks the end of the AFL bye period and brings relief to DreamTeamers across the world.

Bargain Buy
Scott Thompson (Adelaide) is an underpriced premium you should consider bringing into your side. Priced at $484,600. After two disappointing games with scores of 84 and 65, he bounced back after the bye scoring 141. In his last 10 games he only plays 2 current top 8 sides and that includes all of the bottom 5 sides. Adelaide also conclude the year against Gold Coast at AAMI Stadium a team that he has played against 3 times averaging 140.33. Sanderson has flagged the possibility of rotating players towards the end of the season, meaning Thompson may miss one in the lead up to September, but don’t let this discourage you from jumping on Thompson.
Verdict – Buy Now.

TRADE OF THE WEEK

Sam Gibson the next breakout Rookie?

IN: Gibson (NM) – OUT: Horsley (GC)
We wondered whether Horsley would be the second coming of Michael Barlow however this never came to fruition. He has been serviceable but now it’s time to say goodbye and bring in some cash or upgrade to a premium. The main rookie option is Sam Gibson from North Melbourne. We touted Gibson last week. He was the B&F at Box Hill last season averaging 28 disposals a game. By all reports he is having the same impact this season averaging 26 disposals a week in the VFL. He was solid on debut, however it will be interesting to see whether he retains his position in the side. If he is named this week, make the trade and cash in on his low price.

Believe the HYPE – Round 12 Preview


This weekly article will look at who is being HYPED this week as a MUST have buy in AFL DreamTeam and SuperCoach and other HYPED issues of the week.

This Round marks the beginning of the three round bye period that is causing headaches for dream team coaches across the land.

The midseason discount?
JUNE END OF FINANCIAL YEAR SALE
Matt Priddis is the one player you should bring in this week. At the beginning of the year this is the type of player DreamTeamers wished would be discounted at this time of the season. Starting the year at $521,400 he has dropped $132,800 and now valued at $388,600. The reason for his drop is price is a moderate start to the season followed by an injury in round 7 against Essendon where he went off early after only racking up 17 DT points. Since returning from injury in Round 9 he has scored 108 and 113 and now coming off the bye with a BE of 30 his price is expected to skyrocket.

Verdict
Option A
If you still have Magner and have the money to upgrade do it now!

Option B
By all reports Zaharakis will miss up to four weeks. If you have Zaharakis and have the ability to switch him into the midfield make the trade. You will pocket $40,500 in the process and get a premium gun for the rest of the season.

TRADE OF THE WEEK
Marty Clarke to Sam Shaw
Marty Clarke has been a very serviceable season starting the year at $141,500, Clarke reached a peak of $319,600 in round 9 and has fallen slightly to a price o $307,700. That is an increase of $166,200. With a BE of77 the time has come to trade in and use the money on upgrading to a premium player. Sam Shaw is one of the only cheap defenders on the current radar and appears to have a safe position within the Adelaide side coming almost straight back into the Crows side after injury in place of Ricky Henderson. Shaw appears to have grown since being recruited and at 194 with his agility may become an effective lineman between Adelaide’s defence and midfield in transition. Prior to being drafted Shaw a Saints supporter, described himself similar to Sam Gilbert on the football field. With the Crows playing the Saints Friday night it will be interesting to see whether his game resembles the playing style of Gilbert.

Verdict – Trade

ROOKIE HYPE
Sam Gibson was heavily touted in the preseason and many expected North Melbourne to play the rookie from round 1. He was B&F at Box Hill last season averaging 28 disposals a game. By all reports he is having the same impact this season averaging 26 disposals a week in the VFL. Jump on!

Sam Gibson the next breakout Rookie?

VIDEO OF THE WEEK
One of my personal favourites former Western Bulldog and Brisbane Brownlow Medalist Jason Akermanis taking a screamer on the weekend. To top off the day Aka proves he has not lost his touch giving a trademark handstand to the crowd. One of the best and under appreciated footballers of the past 15 years.

Believe the HYPE – Round 11 Preview


KING OF THE PACK

This weekly article will look at who is being HYPED this week as a MUST have buy in AFL DreamTeam and SuperCoach and other HYPED issues of the week.

This Round marks the beginning of the three round bye period that is causing headaches for dream team coaches across the land.

TRADE OF THE WEEK
So far the trade of the week thus far has been G.Ablett IN, Pendlebury OUT. First let me say after Abletts 186 I can understand why people want to get Ablett. However trading out Pendlebury is the WRONG move. Time and time again we need to be reminded that trading a Premiums for a Premium is a short sighted move. We need to look big picture beyond these multi-bye rounds to how our team is going to look leading into Round 20 for the start of the finals. In my estimation, I want both Pendlebury and Ablettt.

Verdict – Rookie Move

So who should I trade in this week?
The Dream Team “KING OF THE PACK” of the week is clearly Sam Mitchell. At the end of Round 10, 18.37 people owned Mitchell, by the end of Round 11 100% should. This is the one and only trade I would consider this week. If you have a GWS rookie such as Kennedy (25.09%) or Devon Smith (29.1%) or JMAC (James McDonald) (25.53%) trade them now. If you have all three trade them in that order. This is DREAMTEAM 101 we trade out MAXED Rookies for UNDERPRICED GUNS on the BUBBLE (Price about to rise).

Mitchell is priced at $437,500 with a B/E (break-even) of 78. His score will rise with his low score of 73 against Fremantle in Round 8 leaving his rolling average after this round. Mitchell is averaging 93.7 over the last 3 games but 102.7 over the season. His first four games of the season were vintage Mitchell with an average of 117 p.p.g. over those opening rounds.

Do we believe the HYPE?
ROUND 13 BYE PLAYERS?
Players from the Round 13 Bye are very attractive options. It has been worked out that the minimum amount of 0’s you can get through this year is TWO. DTTALK BYE STRUCTURE THEORY. If you manage to follow a similar structure, bring in a Gary Ablett, Sam Mitchell, Mitch Robinson and Brett Deledio! Take a proactive approach, understand we will all face 0’s and set your team up for future success later in the season.

Round 11 is the ONLY time you would consider bringing in a Round 13 Player as they still have two games until they face the BYE.

NOW YOU’VE READ THE ARTICLE, LEAVE A COMMENT BELOW AND TELL US YOUR THOUGHTS?

Believe the Hype – Round 10 Preview


This weekly article will look at who is being HYPED this week as a MUST have buy in AFL DreamTeam and SuperCoach and other HYPED issues of the week.

Paddy Ryder


Paddy Ryder has signed a new 4 year contract on to remain a Bomber until the end of the 2016 season. In top form he is one of the best players in the competition.

TRADE OF THE WEEK

Sam Darley for Thomas Bugg?
Bring in Sam Darley – GWS
Darley appears to be an ideal selection with two promising performances despite wearing the VEST. These are the issues that I see with Sam Darley.

Trade for Thomas Bugg? I question this trade as there does not appear to be many consistent lower priced defenders. Is Sam Darley guaranteed for the rest of the season? For mine Thomas Bugg will likely average 60 and will remain as my first emergency throughout the season as he has great job security and has proven throughout the season to be highly rated by the GWS coaching staff.

What about the Round 11 Bye? If Darley fits within your round 11 bye structure bring him in immediately. You may consider waiting 2 rounds let him raise in price by $40k have his Bye and then bring him in for a Round 12/13 bye player giving you an additional option for a downgrade/cover.

Bye, Bye Magner?
The wheels have well and truely fallen of Magner. Once known as the Magnet for his ability to attract the ball, his lock down tagging role has negated his free wheeling ball winning ability. He has averaged 68.3 in his last 3 and now looks to have peaked at his present price. Hold onto magnet for two more rounds as he is ideal cover for your Round 11 bye players and will be a great player to help you upgrade to a Boyd, Thompson, Redden and Rockliff type premium after their bye.

Do we believe the HYPE?
ROUND 13 BYE PLAYERS?
Players from the Round 13 Bye are very attractive options. It has been worked out that the minimum amount of 0’s you can get through this year is TWO. DTTALK BYE STRUCTURE THEORY. If you manage to follow a similar structure, bring in a Gary Ablett, Mitch Robinson, Brett Deledio and Heath Scotland now! Take a proactive approach, understand we will all face 0’s and set your team up for future success later in the season.

NOW YOU’VE READ THE ARTICLE, LEAVE A COMMENT BELOW AND TELL US YOUR THOUGHTS?

Believe the HYPE – Round 5


This weekly article will look at who is being HYPED this week as a MUST have buy in AFL DreamTeam and SuperCoach and other HYPED issues of the week.

FOUR rounds into the AFL season and the HYPE surrounding some of our prized AFL Dream Team recruits is starting to make us wonder what we were thinking?


Trade of the Week (The Ablett Dilemma)
As of Wednesday morning the trade of the week thus far has been Gary Ablett out of teams with 12.3% saying “no no no” to Gary’s bruised knee. In order these are the top 5 options the general DT public have made on who to trade in as his replacement.

Stanton – 6,819 (5%)
Murphy – 2,603 (2%)
Swan – 1,182 (1%)
Pendlebury – 1,179 (1%)
Boyd – 981 (1%)

People who are trading now are obviously going for the CAR and want to maintain their ranking. If this is the case you need to consider two things. Firstly how does Stanton, Swan and Pendlebury fit into your Round 11/12/13 BYE structure. You will need to balance out your side with a round 13 player. Luckily two rookies appear to be in play.

The first is Port Adelaides Darren Pfeiffer. He was originally a first round draft choice by the Adelaide Crows and was only let go due to his poor attitude, not his footballing ability. He has since had a short stint at the Blues and subsequently played in the QAFL in 2010 with Southport finishing second in the leagues B&F. In 2011 he moved back home to play with Norwood in the SANFL, where he was influential in helping the side to the finals under Nathan Basset. Remember 2011 Duigan, Lower and Puopolo all came from the Norwood system under Bassett.


The second option is Kyal Horsley from the Gold Coast Suns. With Jarrod Harbrow being placed on the long term injury list Horsley is the likely candidate to take his position. Horsley is 24 and was also a winner in the WAFL B&F (Sandover Medal). Last season he averaged 24 touches a game over 23 games and has a solid mature body that should slot straight into the Suns midfield in the absense of Gary Ablett.

YES, YES, YES?
Brent Stanton
Averaging 134.2 this season and his 175 last weekend against arguably the best performing side leading into the round demonstrates that despite his unpopularity for his disposal, his work ethic is unquestionable at present. If you think he is worth the risk its time to make the call this round.

Answer to Dilemma: If you are going for Overall ranking – Trade, if you are focusing on your league, HOLD and just wait out the 2-3 weeks. Ablett is the Premium player in DT and you’re likely going to have to trade him back in eventually. Is it worth the trade?

THE SPECIAL
Clancee Pearce

Despite only scoring 16 in round one, he has followed up with scores of 95, 115 and 109. As a Forward/Midfielder at $360,700 he is at a tempting price with many more highly touted premium forwards struggling for form. With a break-even of 5 its now or never.

VERDICT – Risky but worth the chance.


Check back weekly at this time for this column.

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Fantasy Hold’em – Round 4



This weekly column will look at the hype surrounding AFL DreamTeam players. We’ll help you make the decision on whether to Believe the Hype and make the CALL on a player, HOLD firm in the face of poor scores or on whether to pick the player up and FOLD when it’s clear the player is no longer up to it.

Three rounds into the AFL season and the HYPE surrounding some of our prized AFL Dream Team recruits is starting to make us wonder what we were thinking?


Popular trade of the week thus far in AFL Dream Team
If Nat Fyfe is OUT or I don’t want to risk his injury who should I trade IN?
The question on everyones lips is who should I trade in for Nate Fyfe who was owned by 40.7% of all DreamTeamers.

The answer is fairly straight forward. If you were silly enough not to start the year with Buddy Franklin trade to him now. My advice is to bring in Mitch Robinson who is only owned by 4.3% of savvy DreamTeamers (Who likely purchased the DTTalk CHEAT SHEET) at the start of round 3. With scores of 82, 102 and 127 he is demonstrating he is one of the best DT forwards this season. This form is on the back of an average of 28 touches per game between round 10-18 last season. He was a ball winner at underage level and with Carltons form, he is likely to have plenty of chances to get the ball. The other player to consider with the round 13 BYE is Brendan Whitecross who has started the season in ominous form with scores of 98, 118 & 122.

If you’re worried about the round 13 BYE consider Dayne Beams. His price will likely fall in the next few weeks but his overall output could be the highest of the other round 12 BYE players.

My advice
1. Robinson
2. Whitecross
3.Beams
*This is on the assumption you already have Buddy Franklin

Question: But what if I have Fyfe in my midfield?
Well the first question I ask is why? But if you have a link player such as Kennedy or D.Smith in your midfield consider swapping them and upgrading Fyfe to a mid-priced Premium. If you don’t have the money for the Boyd/Ablett/Pendlebury/Swans of the world consider the following:

1. Jack Ziebell – 139 on return against the Cats
2. Josh P. Kennedy – Ave. 108 this season
3. Michael Barlow – Two games starting SUB, underpriced. Last game 99
4. Scott Selwood -98, 131 and 150 to start the season.
5. Luke Shuey – Ave. 107.3 this season
6. Rory Sloane – 125, 105 and 56 to start the season.


The “four seasons in one day” Award.
Awarded to the player who is perennially inconsistent.

This award goes to Greg Broughton. He has followed up his 59 and 67 with a 109 against the Lions this week. He was struggling early until Fyfe got injured and he was injected into the midfield. What can I say. At his best he is worth the risk, but i’d avoid the heartache and choose a more consistent player.
Verdict – avoid the Headache and stay away

ON THE CUSP
Brent Stanton
With opening scores of 153, 116 and 93 Stanton is proving despite his unpopularity among the Essendon supporter base he potentially is one of the most unique DT Premiums of 2012 being owned by only 2.19% of teams at the start of round 3.
Very unique option


Paddy Ryder
Ryder has started the season very strongly averaging 110.3 DT points per game and is demonstrating that he has the potential to become a premium around the ground ruckman. With Hille injured for the next month Ryder will have the chance to take charge in the ruck and show the form he has in the past when given the lead responsibility.
Watch him Closely


BLAST FROM THE PAST
Chad Cornes
The Chad has shown his former club that he is not a spent force. Scores of 111, 117 and 74 make him a tempting and unique selection. Physically he appears to be in the best shape of his career and arguably one of the fittest in the AFL. He has surprised not only the general football public, but the GWS coaching staff with his form this season. He could arguably be one of the highest scoring forwards this season. One last time?
Verdict – HOLD

THE SPECIAL
Reece Conca
If he was not the SUB in the first game he’d have been in many more teams. With scores of 35, 85 & 138 he is playing more time in the midfield and is playing like he belongs at this level. He was pick 6 in the 2010 draft and is beginning to debunk the curse of those selected with that number. Bring him in now while his price is relatively low and the SUB score is still in play.
Verdict – CALL

Check back weekly at this time for this column.

Comment below and follow us on twitter @HYPEfooty

Fantasy Hold’em – Call, Hold or Fold – Round 3


This weekly column will look at the hype surrounding AFL DreamTeam players. We’ll help you make the decision on whether to Fantasy Hold’em and make the CALL on a player, HOLD firm in the face of poor scores or FOLD when it’s clear the player is no longer up to it.

Two rounds into the AFL season and the HYPE surrounding some of our prized AFL Dream Team recruits is starting to make us wonder what we were thinking?

The number one trade of the week thus far in AFL Dream Team has been Coniglio (GWS) to Greene (GWS). If you believe this is worth one trade I can understand considering Greene who has averaged 103 per game after the first 2 games. My consideration when making all trades are whether a trade sideways at a rookie price is going to make you 80k-100k more. My advice is that while it is unquestionable Greene has future star potential as an absolute Dream Team Gun, is it worth trading Coniglio the number 2 selection at last seasons draft who will only get better as the season progresses and could potentially rise to a 65-70 ppg average or around 300k. Coniglio also has senior experience playing in the WAFL. Most notably kicking 4-goals as a 16-year old in the WAFL Grand Final. This is important to remember as GWS do have a young side, so expect rotations throughout the year.

My advice is that if you believe in Greene as a potential 6th or first reserve midfielder or you have a rookie who is not performing to expectation JUMP ON NOW! Greene will be a gun. Otherwise hold Coniglio expect solid scores and look to upgrade to a premium for a underpriced premium.
HOLD – Coniglio & FOLD – underperforming Rookies

Greg Broughton was touted as one of the premium purchases for the 2012 season. Ross Lyon had played him through the midfield during the NAB Cup averaging 96 points per 100 minutes. However he has followed up 59 and 67 respectively playing a predominantly defensive lock down role.
Verdict – FOLD

Heath Shaw is another who continually troubles fantasy pundits with promise of being a premium player. Heath is one of the most adapt Yo-Yo players to ever play the game. Wait and see if Nick Maxwell is back in the side. This could free Shaw to play the link role. At his very best he is a brilliant player directing player. With other premiums around his price range a sideways trade to another premium is not out of the question.
Verdict – HOLD

Brian Lake similar to Shaw at his very best he is an intercept king, finding the loss ball and coming in as the 3rd man getting invaluable possessions. Given his price and experience we have decided.
Verdict – HOLD

Ian Callinan and Jason Porplyzia both crows forwards were popular selections and have both given Yo-Yo performances. Our biggest problem is that when one performs the other takes the back seat. I personally would have avoided both but could understand the appeal due to price. Depending on your circumstances, if there is a Rookie like GWS Smith and Kennedy you’ve missed think about the downgrade. Otherwise hold on a few more rounds and look for an upgrade as soon as possible.
Verdict – HOLD (for now)

James Magner was touted as the must have rookie of 2012 and thus far has lived up to the HYPE. A hard contested ball winner he is showing up his more highly touted Melbourne team mates and looks to be a long-term lock in the Demons midfield. It’s only early but he could be our Michael Barlow of a few years back and a lock as our 6th Midfielder.
Verdict – Believe the HYPE

Check back tomorrow morning for a new article titled “This isn’t mere hyperbole, this isn’t myth, this is a fact.”

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