Category: MidPrice Mayhem

Mid-Price Mayhem: Forwards

Mid-Price Mayhem: Forwards


MidPrice Mayhem Cloke
The Forward line can be a make or break position in any AFL Fantasy Elite squad. Choose correctly and players can average well above 100 ppg*. Choose poorly and you can have player form fluctuations that will leave you infuriated the whole season.

For this exercise I have looked at players who are priced under $400,000 and over $200,000 in the traditional AFL Fantasy: DreamTeam.

Travis Cloke
DreamTeam Value: $383,600
SuperCoach Value: $436,300
After struggling with form and the decision over his future, Cloke showed late in the season he has the ability to be a premium fantasy Forward. Last year his DreamTeam average of 74.4 was his lowest since his second season in the AFL. His average dropped from 95.7 ppg* down over 20 points to 74.4 ppg*.

Cloke can be an enigma in Fantasy Football, with a variation in score last season from a season low 24 against the Crows in Round 9 to a season high 147 against the Bombers in the final round. Cloke is by no means a safe option and is not recommended for a conservative player. With high risks, comes high rewards and Cloke can definitely be a difference makers, both positive and negative.
Potential Average 85-90

Josh J. Kennedy
DreamTeam Value: $272,300
SuperCoach Value: $299,600
Josh J Kennedy
Kennedy is returning from an interrupted season in 2012 where he only managed to play 7 games due to an ankle injury. He never quite found the form of 2011 where he averaged 79.4 DreamTeam and 86.7 SuperCoach points per game. At his best he is one of the best forwards in the game and capable of kicking 60 plus goals a year. With an injury free year, expect Kennedy to push higher up the ground and become a focal point for the Eagles attack.

Potential Average 80/85

Leigh Adams (FWD/MID)
DreamTeam Value: $384,400
SuperCoach Value: $442,600

Known by many for being the man in the now famous Chris Judd “Chicken Wing” tackle, Adams struggled with injuries throughout last season an subsequently his Fantasy output fell to its lowest since 2009 averaging 74.3 an almost 10 ppg* drop on his 2011 output of 84.1 ppg*.

The upside to Adams is he has Fwd/Mid eligibility which will become significant as the season progresses in AFL Fantasy Elite. Also the 6 week suspension to Brent Harvey should allow Adams to get more gametime and possessions early in the season.
Potential Average 80-85

Allen Christensen (FWD/MID)
DreamTeam Value: $381,200
SuperCoach Value: $427,700

Christensen has the ability to win a high number of possession. Despite injuries that restricted him throughout the season his average of 74 ppg* was an increase on his 2011 average of 68.5 ppg*. However in 2011 he was used regularly as a substitute.

The upside for Christensen is that with a clean bill of health he can rack up impressive scores as demonstrated between round 2-6 where he had over 20 possessions in each game. Also is a Forward/Midfielder. With the likes of Chapman, Bartel and Corey getting older, expect these players to rotate more and for Geelong to use the likes of Christensen to get more time in the middle.
Potential Average 70-75

Travis Varcoe
Travis Varcoe
DreamTeam Value: $234,400
SuperCoach Value: $268,900
A change of role to half back will allow Varcoe to get out of the forward pocket and use his pace, skill and creativity in moving the ball towards the forward 50. Varcoe injured his ankle in the first game of the 2012 season and was not seen back at AFL level for the entire year. At his price with a change of position, Varcoe could be one of the best buys of the season.

Potential Average 70-75
Arryn Siposs
Hype List in-depth review of Siposs
DreamTeam Value: $325,000
SuperCoach Value: $316,600

Getty Images Robert Cianflone file photo
Getty Images Robert Cianflone file photo

Siposs is an intriguing selection. Starting as the Sub in 3 games and being subbed in one other, Siposs still managed to average 63.1 ppg in 11 games. However when you take away his substitute games he managed to score over 76 in 5 of the 7 games at an average of 80.1 ppg that included two scores of 100 or more.

Reports also indicate Siposs is being trained to fill the role vacated by Brendon Goddard.

Potential Average 65-70

Other Players to Watch: Mark LeCras (WCE), Michael Walters (Fre), Sam Blease (Mel), Robbie Gray (Pt.A), Will Hoskin-Elliott (GWS)

AVIOD
Nathan Bock

DreamTeam Value: $282,800
SuperCoach Value: $297,400

Priced nicely in both SuperCoach and AFL Fantasy: DreamTeam, Bock is struggling to recover from his broken leg and was reported on Monday to still be visibly hobbling on his leg. If Bock does play this season, It will most likely be as a Key Forward.

Chris Knights
DreamTeam Value: $254,500
SuperCoach Value: $284,300

Knights is renowned for his ball winning ability and was a crucial member of the Crows set up in the 07-08-09 seasons where he averaged 87.7, 83.1 and 84.6 respectively. Many believe it was his injury in the 2009 Elimination Final against Collingwood that turned the game in the Pies favour.

Can Chris replicate his past form? Last year we saw the impact a change of scenery had on his fellow ex-Crows team mate and best friend Ivan Maric. Knights at his best is a damaging high half forward who can penetrate the attacking zone with his long left boot.
Potential Average 60-65

Avoid for now – Gary Rohan (Syd), Shannon Byrnes (Mel)
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Mid-Price Mayhem: Midfielders (Under $500K)

Mid-Price Mayhem: Midfielders (Under $500K)


Luke Ball
The Midfield can be one of the most difficult areas of the field in AFL Fantasy Elite. If you’re one of the people who has a selection later in the first round, it is very likely that the best Midfielders (Swan, Ablett, Cotchin, Boyd, Pendlebury and Beams) will already have been selected.

Strategy dictates that you should look to get the premiums from other areas (Defenders, Forwards and Ruck) as midfield depth is stronger than other areas.

But now you are in the later rounds and it’s time to pick the best available. Here are some sub $500,000 DreamTeam players who could be a steal in AFL Fantasy Elite and SuperCoach Draft as well as the traditional forms of Fantasy Football.

Toby Greene $495,700 (DT) – $506,300 (SC)
2012 DT ave: 96.21
2012 SC ave: 94.63


Greene was a ball magnet as a junior averaging 29.2 disposals per game for Oakleigh Chargers in the TAC cup in 2011 and replicated that form in the AFL collecting 30 or more possessions on 9 occasions. An amazing result for a rookie. Averaging 96 ppg* in DT last season, more impressive was his end to the season, over the last 8 games averaging 110 points per game.
Potential Ave. 105 (DT)

Nat Fyfe $458,500 (DT) – $498, 800 (SC)
2012 DT ave: 89
2012 SC ave: 93.22


Injury curtailed his season playing only 9 regular season games (plus 2 finals) at an average of 89 points per game. Fyfe has potentially slipped in the minds of many AFL Fantasy Elite players. In 2011 he averaged 98.3 points per game and looked destined to become an elite AFL Fantasy Player. While many compare his onfield style to current Essendon Coach and Great James Hird, A fit Fyfe could well be one of the bargain buys of the season.
Potential Ave. 105 (DT/SC)

Luke Ball $343,100 (DT) – $301,800 (SC)
2012 DT ave: 74
2012 SC ave: 62.67


A knee injury ended the season of Ball in round 3 last season. In his first two seasons at the Pies Ball averaged 92.6 ppg* in 2010 and 96.3 ppg* in 2011. He is low down the AFL Fantasy Elite selection order and would be a good selection for anyone looking for a proven reliable player. Hold off selecting him in AFL DreamTeam until he returns.
Potential Ave. 85 (DT/SC)

Daniel Hannebery $421,800 (DT) – $439,700 (SC)
2012 DT ave: 81.86
2012 SC ave: 82.18


During the 2012 finals series Hannebery showed he has the capability to be a top line midfielder, averaging 30 possessions per game. Across those 3 games he scored 78, 106 & 106 ppg. After 3 seasons averaging around the 80 ppg (80.5, 79.7, 81.5 ppg) Hannebery is a standout contender for a more dominant role in the swans midfield.
Potential Ave. 85 (DT) – 90 (SC)

Brent Moloney – $309,800 (DT) – $362,400 (SC)
2012 DT ave: 60.13
2012 SC ave: 67.73


After a disappointing season at the Dees, Moloney, now at the Lions, will be looking to recapture the form he had in 2011 when he won the Melbourne Football Clubs best and fairest award. His average dropped from 88 in 2011 to just 60 in 2012.

The Lions have targeted him as a free agent to fill a role as a clearence specialist, not ideal for AFL Fantasy Elite, but perfect for SuperCoach Draft where contested possessions are worth more points. Expect Moloney to play from round one and help the likes of Black and the younger brigade of Redden and Rockliff in the middle.

Potential Ave. 75 (DT) – 90(SC)

Nick Lower $352,200 (DT) – $379,500 (SC)
2012 DT ave: 97.67
2012 SC ave: 88.67


This is a real surprise selection and is potentially risky. Lower now at his third AFL Club did not fit with in new Fremantle coach Ross Lyons plans for the club and only played 3 games at an average of 97.7 ppg* after injuries curtailed his early season oppurtunities to get on the park.

When playing back in the WAFL he averaged over 25 possessions a game and showed his ability to be a very solid contributor.

In a young Bulldogs midfield, Lower could become one of the real generals at the football club with a hardened AFL Body to help the likes of Griffen, Boyd and Cross.
Potential Ave. 70 (DT/SC)

ppg* = Points Per Game.

Also consider Jack Steven, Koby Stevens, David Mundy

Comment, Like and Tweet below. Come back on Friday the 8th of February when we look at Mid-Price Mayhem: Forwards.

Mid-Price Mayhem – Defenders (AFL Fantasy Elite, SuperCoach Draft & Ultimate Footy)

Mid-Price Mayhem – Defenders (AFL Fantasy Elite, SuperCoach Draft & Ultimate Footy)


Ben Jacobs

Todays first Mid-Price Mayhem will focus on Defenders. I can already hear the screams as you look down at your computer screen. Goddard, Gibbs, Scotland, Waters and Birchall are already selected. No premiums left! You begin to wonder why you decided to play a game where the best players are already selected before you have had an opportunity to select them.

Here are a few mid price options (Players under $425,000) that may be handy additions to your AFL Fantasy Elite sides.

UPDATED:
Micahel Hibberd (Essendon)

Hibberd is one of the best readers of the game in the Essendon side. From round 1-4 he gathered over 20 possessions in 3 of the 4 games and lead the club in intercept possessions. Hibberd’s year was hampered by soft tissue injuries that restricted him to only 12 games. The positive sign is that Essendon found a place in their side both times when he was returning from injury. With Goddard now at the Bombers, Hibberd could get cheaper possesions playing of the half back line.

Potential Ave. 80

Nick Suban (Fremantle)

By all accounts has finally taken the step up on the track and got himself to the level required. As an underage player playing U18 National Championships, Suban averaged 23 possessions per game from a back pocket. He was also awarded an U18 All Australian Award, however was unable to be drafted as he was under age. In 2008 he returned again this time to the midfield where he averaged 16 possessions per game from the midfield.

Last season Suban played 14 games and was used as the sub in 4 of the last 5 games. The biggest drawback on his game is his fitness. Now however, he appears to have turned that around and may finally be able to utilise his footballing ability to its true capability.

Expect Suban to play a more inside midfield role this season to complement the outside runner of Hill, Pearce and Fyfe.

Potential Ave. 75

Jack Watts

The former number one draft pick has failed to date to live up to the high billing that accompanies those selected with that pick. The pressure of playing in a disappointing side as a key forward was too much at times and Watts form reflected that of his team. After moving to half back part way through the season Watts regained confidence and showed a glimpse of why he was rated so highly as a junior. He has an elite ability to read the game and accompanied with a good kick makes him a dangerous player moving the ball out of the defence. With another preseason under his belt he physically has the weapons to become a top line player.

Consider Linking Watts Def/Fwd link with a player such as Greg Broughton.
Potential Ave. 75

Preseason Predictions
Hamish Hartlett (Port Adelaide)

PORT ADELAIDE POWER TRAINING AT ALBERTON OVAL – HAMISH HARTLETT. PICTURE: SIMON CROSS

Hartlett is slightly above mid-price and is considered by many as a risky selection in both AFL Dream Team and AFL Fantasy Elite. When fit he is arguably Port Adelaide’s best player. Expect Hartlett to push into the midfield to assist Boak and drift between half back where he has a tremendous ability to move the ball forward effectively.

Hartlett has the potential to be a genuine top 6 fantasy defender by seasons end.
Potential Ave. 90-95+

Brodie Smith (Adelaide)

BRODIE SMITH’S ATTRIBUTES AND RECENT FORM FOR THE CROWS ARE DRAWING COMPARISONS WITH GEELONG STAR JOEL COREY. PICTURE: SARAH REED THE ADVERTISER

Smith showed his ability in the semi-final against Fremantle racking up a dozen possessions early in the game, before converting to a lockdown role on Chris Mayne after an injury to defender Sam Shaw. Entering his 3rd season Smith has the potential to be a breakout star with the attention going on his more fancied teammates. With more time playing in the midfield or on a wing this former 1st round selection could be a real steal in the later rounds of the draft.
Potential Ave. 75+

Chris Yarran (Carlton)

CARLTON’S CHRIS YARRAN WILL PLAY AGAINST HIS FORMER TEAMMATE NIC NAITANUI IN THE SEM-FINAL. HERALD SUN http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/sport/afl/the-unbreakable-bonds-of-childhood-nic-naitanui-and-chris-yarran/story-e6frexx0-1226138410695

Yes, we have heard it all before but Yarran is underpriced this season and may be under valued by your fellow competitors. Having a poor 2012 after injuries and lack of fitness, Yarran could prove to be one of the big beneficiaries of Malthouses game plan along the boundary line with his pace and skill by foot a real asset. Look for Yarran to be used as a real link man this season with a high potential to rack up easy ball.
Potential Ave. 75+

Jordan Russell

The former Blue has the potential to be a real bargain this season. Priced at only $264,300 in AFL Fantasy: Dream Team. In 2012 Russell finished second in the Carlton best and fairest behind 2010 Brownlow Medalist Chris Judd. In that season he also was the predominant kick out player, highlighting his effectiveness and reliability as a general defender.

His move to Collingwood in the off-season could be the catalyst for him to regain form. Watch his NAB Cup form and see where he plays and the role others have around him. Also for what it is worth, he was recently handed the number 2 jumper
Potential Ave. 75-80

Kangaroos Double
Ben Jacobs
Jacobs is an interesting proposition in both Fantasy Elite and DreamTeam. As a junior Jacobs average 28.8 possessions a game for Vic Metro in the national carnival and was a proven ball magnet. Drafted at pick 16 and after two average seasons at Port Adelaide due to illness and a debilitating ankle injury. Jacobs has the potential to be a 3rd year breakout player. Expect him to push into the Kangaroos midfield rotation and potentially rotate with another Roo Shaun Atley. With 26 games under his belt and playing back in his home state of Victoria, Jacobs could be a steal for those willing to take a risk on this young Roo.
Potential Ave. 75+

Shaun Atley

Atley who was selected one selection after Jacobs in the 2010 draft at pick 17, also had a break out season in 2012 proving to be reliable playing across halfback. Averaging 60 ppg* last season, a move higher up the ground into an outside midfield role could see Atley’s value skyrocket and make him a bargain in AFL Fantasy Elite.
Potential Ave. 75+

Aviod – Nathan Bock – Fwd/Def (Gold Coast)
After a serious leg injury it is difficult to tell whether Bock will come back in good form, however as a late pick he may be worth the risk. Expect him to come back and play predominantly as a Key Forward.
Potential Ave. ?

ppg* = Points Per Game.

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