Believe the Hype – Round 9

Believe the Hype – Round 9

This weekly article will look at who is being HYPED this week as a MUST have buy in AFL DreamTeam and SuperCoach and other HYPED issues of the week.

1) IN: Thurlow, J (DEF) OUT: Stevenson, L (DEF) 11,046 (5%)
This trade makes sense. Thurlow has looked impressive in his first two games. He is a noted ball winner and ranked second for uncontested possessions in the under 18 championship. His long term reliability is questionable as Geelong do rotate younger players through the senior side. But with limited options, he is a good bet. Stevenson, Pittard and Heath are the top 3 trades out for Thurlow this week. The Power bubble has burst and you should be looking to get rid of any remaining Power rookie in your team.

Top 5 Ins and out
1 Thurlow, J 14.29%
2 Staker, B 7.91%
3 Vlastuin, N 4.33%
4 Watson, J 4.24%
5 Franklin, L 2.82%

1 Stevenson, L 8.63%
2 Mayes, S 6.66%
3 Wines, O 6.29%
4 Viney, J 4.47%
5 Neade, J 4.28%

Thurlow (DEF) or Staker (DEF/FWD)?
Thurlow is the popular option. If you are looking at getting another rookie next week, Staker (DEF/FWD) is the ideal candidate. If you are just deciding between one defender rookie over the next two weeks the decision is between Thurlow (DEF) and Staker(DEF/FWD). I’d lean towards Staker (DEF/FWD). Voss has shown that when fit Staker (DEF/FWD)is almost an automatic selection. He can play both ends of the filled and could become a good foil up forward for Brown or a great replacement down back for the suspended Daniel Merrett (DEF), who is set to miss 3 games. This will be games against Carlton, Collingwood, Round 11 Bye & Fremantle.
Verdict: Get BOTH!

Watson (MID) is underpriced at $481,400 with a breakeven of 70. He will start to go up in price again, this is the round to jump on.

Franklin (FWD) has been disappointing so far this season. Now only $390,100, he still has a breakeven of 99. The Hawks play the Gold Coast this week and Franklin should improve.

Should I trade Sam Mayes (FWD/MID)?
No. Yes he has a breakeven of 93 and now has a score of 31 in his rolling average, but unless you are using Mayes to get to a Watson, Kennedy or other premium you should keep him. He has a round 11 bye and has a useful forward/midfield eligibility.

Brad Crouch (MID) again is one to watch. He was very good in the SANFL, but the Crows going into a tight contest against North have given him one more week at West Adelaide to regain fitness.

Nathan Hrovat (MID) was a ball magnet as a junior. He averaged 25.2 possessions per game in 5 games for Vic Metro in the National Carnival. He also won the Northern Knights B&F despite playing only 8 games with an average of 26.6 possessions per game.

Matthew Kreuzer is underpriced at $323,300 and goes into this round with a breakeven of 81. His price is still effected by the 21 he scored when he broke his finger in round 3 against Geelong. He also had a slow start on his return in Round 7 scoring only 40 against Ben McEvoy and St. Kilda. HE was better last week against the Power scoring 81.

What are your thoughts? Who are you bringing in and trading out this week?

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